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Paul L.

Senior commodity strategist reveals how Bitcoin's downturn has highlighted vulnerabilities in the US stock market

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Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has discussed the potential impact of Bitcoin's (BTC) recent performance on the broader US stock market.

In a post on X dated August 10, McGlone suggested that Bitcoin—an important indicator for risk assets—may be undergoing rapid maturation, especially concerning US exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This maturation, according to McGlone, might be exerting significant pressure on the stock market.

He noted that Bitcoin's notable decline from its previous highs could be revealing vulnerabilities in the stock market. As of August 10, 2024, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $60,000, a level last seen in March 2021.

During a comparable period in 2021, the S&P 500 was trading around 3,900. By August 9, 2024, it had increased to 5,344.

McGlone's analysis indicated that Bitcoin's recent decline—during which the cryptocurrency briefly fell below $50,000—could be placing an "excessive burden" on the stock market, which has remained high despite difficulties in the crypto sector.

This comparison highlights a possible divergence between Bitcoin's performance and traditional risk assets such as the S&P 500.

Bitcoin's Influence on the Broader Market

According to the strategist, Bitcoin's 24/7 trading pattern is increasingly making it a leading indicator for broader market sentiment. As Bitcoin matures, particularly with the rise of ETFs, its movements could have a greater impact on other markets.

However, this also implies that Bitcoin's struggles could have significant repercussions for the stock market.

McGlone’s analysis indicates that the US stock market's fate may be more closely linked to Bitcoin than previously realized, especially as the cryptocurrency sector becomes more integrated into the mainstream financial system.

Additionally, recent trends show both Bitcoin and the stock market experiencing capital outflows amid concerns about a potential US recession.

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